Wargelin – Wargelin

15 Oct 25

The Red Sea MoU:Actors, Interests, andStrategic Implications

Ethiopia and Somaliland signed a controversial Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on January 1, 2024, a move unequivocally rejected by Somalia on grounds of national sovereignty and territorial integrity. Somalia received broad international backing from major world powers, regional actors, and multilateral institutions in its diplomatic standoff with Ethiopia throughout 2024.…

02 Sep 25

Assessing the Impactof Leadership Changewithin al-Shabaab’sAmniyat

Earlier this year, al-Shabaab has restructured its Amniyat branch in response to the shifting security dynamics in Somalia. This report provides an in-depth analysis of developments within the group’s most secretive intelligence unit, focusing on the appointment of Abdullahi Osman aka Engineer Ismail as its leader. It examines how this…